Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.001538 0.001707 0.001877 0.002061 0.002253 0.002447 0.002659
2025-01-19 0.001166 0.001423 0.001693 0.001994 0.002320 0.002660 0.003039
2025-01-26 0.000897 0.001218 0.001571 0.001980 0.002435 0.002922 0.003477
2025-02-02 0.000685 0.001049 0.001470 0.001975 0.002555 0.003187 0.003921
2025-02-09 0.000559 0.000964 0.001453 0.002060 0.002770 0.003558 0.004484
2025-02-16 0.000444 0.000875 0.001421 0.002118 0.002951 0.003890 0.005006
2025-02-23 0.000295 0.000714 0.001281 0.002035 0.002960 0.004020 0.005297
2025-03-02 0.000189 0.000587 0.001171 0.001977 0.002989 0.004168 0.005603
2025-03-09 0.000116 0.000491 0.001089 0.001946 0.003045 0.004342 0.005938
2025-03-16 0.000067 0.000417 0.001028 0.001935 0.003121 0.004537 0.006293
2025-03-23 0.000043 0.000386 0.001026 0.001999 0.003289 0.004841 0.006775
2025-03-30 0.000021 0.000340 0.000995 0.002022 0.003401 0.005076 0.007174
2025-04-06 0.000005 0.000288 0.000956 0.002041 0.003525 0.005344 0.007639
2025-04-13 NaN 0.000215 0.000868 0.001988 0.003556 0.005505 0.007983
2025-04-20 NaN 0.000167 0.000815 0.001982 0.003650 0.005744 0.008425
2025-04-27 NaN 0.000127 0.000769 0.001984 0.003753 0.005996 0.008885
2025-05-04 NaN 0.000113 0.000779 0.002073 0.003975 0.006397 0.009528
2025-05-11 NaN 0.000095 0.000772 0.002133 0.004158 0.006751 0.010114
2025-05-18 NaN 0.000054 0.000683 0.002052 0.004141 0.006850 0.010389
2025-05-25 NaN 0.000027 0.000613 0.001995 0.004153 0.006982 0.010702
2025-06-01 NaN 0.000012 0.000562 0.001965 0.004200 0.007158 0.011067
2025-06-08 NaN 0.000003 0.000524 0.001954 0.004273 0.007366 0.011471
2025-06-15 NaN 0.000002 0.000527 0.002019 0.004457 0.007718 0.012054